August NYMEX West Texas Intermediate crude surged $3.15 to $74.55/bbl by midday, while September ICE Brent climbed $3.50 to $79.55/bbl. This sudden reversal marks a decisive shift after two sessions of decline, fueled by Iran’s recent decision to fire on vessels attempting to traverse a U.S.-backed route through the Strait of Hormuz.
Diesel futures outpaced gasoline, with August NYMEX ULSD rising 21.15 cents to $3.7650/gal. Market analysts at Ritterbusch and Associates suggest this strength reflects heightened supply anxieties, compounded by Russia’s recent ban on diesel exports through the end of July. While the current exchange of fire and diplomatic defiance suggests a volatile summer, experts anticipate that the cyclical pattern of conflict and negotiation could cap WTI and Brent gains at $80 and $86 per barrel, respectively.

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