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Oil Surge and Bond Yields Shake Markets as Inflation Fears Return

Brent crude has climbed more than $20 above its July lows, dragging 10-year Treasury yields toward 2026 peaks as geopolitical friction in the Middle East and Ukraine ripples through global finance. The rapid ascent toward $100 a barrel is forcing investors to reprice the probability of impending Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.

Oil Surge and Bond Yields Shake Markets as Inflation Fears Return

The energy spike is hitting consumers directly, pushing average gasoline prices past the $4-a-gallon threshold. This inflationary pressure is recalibrating market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting, with traders now assigning a 25% probability to a rate increase next Wednesday, up from 16% just days ago.

Equities remain caught in a tug-of-war as investors pivot away from recent chip-sector gains. While the Nasdaq composite faces downward pressure, the Dow industrials have managed to edge higher. Market participants are now looking toward the close of trading, when Alphabet, Tesla, and IBM are scheduled to release their latest earnings reports, potentially setting the tone for the remainder of the week.

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