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New Jersey Escalates Legal Battle Over Kalshi Sports Betting

New Jersey has petitioned the U.S. Supreme Court to resolve a jurisdictional clash over whether federal derivatives law allows prediction markets to bypass state gambling regulations. The state argues that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's oversight should not grant Kalshi immunity from local consumer protection and licensing laws for sports-based contracts.

The filing, submitted on September 2, follows a Third Circuit decision that favored Kalshi by treating its sports event contracts as swaps under the Commodity Exchange Act. New Jersey contends that Congress never intended for the Dodd-Frank Act to strip states of their traditional authority to police wagering within their own borders. By invoking the major-questions doctrine, the state asserts that such a significant shift in federal-state power requires explicit congressional authorization, which it claims is absent from current law.

This legal friction is intensified by a direct conflict between federal appellate courts. While the Third Circuit granted Kalshi a preliminary injunction against New Jersey regulators, the Ninth Circuit recently allowed Nevada to enforce its own gaming laws against similar prediction market products. This split creates a patchwork of rules across the country, leaving operators facing inconsistent enforcement landscapes. With over 20 lawsuits and cease-and-desist actions active nationwide, the outcome of this petition could fundamentally alter the regulatory future of prediction markets, which currently derive 85% to 90% of their trading volume from sports-related event contracts.

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