Atkins, who has publicly advocated for the bill to reach President Donald Trump’s desk, views the upcoming cloture vote as the necessary hurdle to move toward floor debate. The motion requires 60 votes to overcome procedural delays, a task complicated by a narrow legislative window and the approaching midterm elections. While Senate Majority Leader John Thune filed the motion before the August recess, skepticism remains regarding whether the chamber can secure the necessary bipartisan support to finalize the measure this year.
Despite the push for legislation, the SEC is simultaneously developing an independent regulatory framework. This "Regulation Crypto Assets" proposal would provide exemptions for startups and fundraising, allowing the agency to act even if Congress fails to pass the CLARITY Act. Atkins acknowledged that while the commission possesses existing authority to manage digital assets, congressional action provides a more permanent legal foundation that future leadership would find difficult to reverse. Market sentiment remains divided, with Kalshi traders currently placing the probability of the bill becoming law in 2026 at 49%.
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