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LVMH Faces Revenue Pressure as Luxury Demand Cools

With LVMH set to report third-quarter earnings Monday, analysts anticipate revenue of 18.49 billion euros, a marginal rise from last year's 18.28 billion. Yet, the luxury giant’s shares have shed 40% year-to-date, reflecting a broader market skepticism toward the sector’s resilience in an increasingly volatile global economic landscape.

LVMH Faces Revenue Pressure as Luxury Demand Cools

The core fashion and leather goods division, typically a high-performing engine for the conglomerate, is projected to see revenue dip to 8.40 billion euros from 8.5 billion a year ago. Equita SIM analyst Paola Carboni warns that revenue trends may show further deterioration compared to the second quarter, noting that the luxury bellwether is struggling to navigate a deeply uncertain environment. While some had pinned hopes on a creative renewal at Dior to boost second-half performance, those gains are being eclipsed by softened demand.

Geopolitical and macroeconomic headwinds continue to weigh on the industry. Bernstein analysts report that Chinese consumer confidence remains stagnant, leaving middle-class shoppers hesitant to spend. Simultaneously, conflict in the Middle East is disrupting vital travel corridors for Asian tourists heading to Europe. Jefferies analysts point out that higher oil prices and regional instability are pressuring both local demand and the international tourism flows that serve as a critical pillar for luxury sales.

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